Sept. 3, 2026Methodology v3.0 · State metrics: 12 source systems, data through 2023–2025 by metric
Political Grades
government — just the stats

GovernorsUtah

Utah Under Spencer Cox

Republican · Sworn in Jan. 4, 2021 · Now in 2nd term

Utah has tracked the typical state almost exactly under Gov. Cox — No. 18 of the 29 governors ranked — 38 of 50 are rated, the other 9 are early reads held out of the ranking — across 14 categories.

The Executive Summary

Gov. Spencer Cox (R) has held Utah's governorship since Jan. 2021; on outcome trends versus the other states, Utah sits No. 18 of 29 ranked states, across 14 scored categories. On Cox's watch, jobless-benefit access (% of unemployed receiving UI) rose 18.1% → 21.9% while the typical state rose 19.9% → 22.8% between 2022 and 2024. Over the same service, unemployment rose 2.4% → 3.6% while the typical state rose 3.2% → 4.0% between 2022 and 2025. In all, of the 14 scored categories with data at both ends of their measured windows, 6 moved the right way on their own numbers and 8 moved the wrong way. These are movements on the governor's watch — shared with the legislature and the economy, and the window includes COVID-19 public health emergency (WHO PHEIC: Jan 30, 2020 – May 5, 2023) — association, not causation.

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Spencer Cox
Utah · Republican · since Jan. 2021 · 2nd term
Overall · citizen-weighted
No. 18 of 29
−0.10σ · 14 of 20 categories
equal-weight: −0.12σ · weighting helps
weights: Pew Research Center, Jan. 2024
CategoryLatestScore vs. peers
HonestyNot numerically scored — see Integrity Record
Spending disciplineScoring rule in development
Education scale score281.824Insufficient data
Air quality AQI4524−0.68σ
Water quality % of systems with a violation8.025−0.33σ
Unemployment %3.625−0.40σ
Health coverage % of adults 18-64 uninsured10.124+0.23σ
Tax burden % of personal income5.724+0.54σ
Energy cost cents/kWh12.224+0.23σ
Cost of living index, US=10098.924−0.99σ
Homicide age-adjusted deaths per 100,0002.324−0.01σ
Teen births per 1,000 females 15-198.224+0.66σ
Wellbeing mean poor-mental-health days of 30524+0.32σ
School food qualityScoring rule in development
School shootings124Context · 2/10yr
Obesity % of adults31.024+0.26σ*
Early literacy % of 4th-graders below basic35.524Insufficient data
Gun deaths age-adjusted deaths per 100,00013.324−0.09σ
Food-aid access index (higher = easier access)0.423−1.39σ*
Jobless-benefit access % of unemployed receiving UI21.924−0.01σ
Data transparency — CDC BRFSS survey-years delivered: 4 of 4 in this governor’s window (the only state-run collection scored; BRFSS data through 2024)Full reporting

Each score blends where the state stands today with its trend over this governor’s window, vs. the other states with comparable data — 49 in most categories, fewer wherever a state-year is missing. Scores are in standard deviations (σ) — how far above or below the other states this one sits, where 0 is the middle of the pack and ±1 is a wide gap. *thin data (under 3 points). Tap ? on any row for what it measures, its chart, and the source. All provisional while the term runs. Methodology v3.0

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The Rundown

No. 18 of 29 — below the national average on 6 of its 14 scored categories.

Teen births (per 1,000 females 15-19). Better than the typical state, and moving the right way: 9.0 → 8.2 while the typical state fell 12.8 → 12.0.

Tax burden (% of personal income). Better than the typical state, and moving the right way: 6.34% → 5.70% while the typical state fell 6.04% → 5.98%.

Wellbeing (mean poor-mental-health days of 30). About the middle of the pack, and moving the right way: 5.3 → 5.0 while the typical state barely moved.

Food-aid access. One of the worst in the country, and losing ground: 0.42 → 0.41 while the typical state rose 0.77 → 0.78 — opposite directions. Worst category on the card.

Moved the wrong way on Cox's watch — 8 of 14 scored categories. obesity (% of adults) 30.2 → 31.03; energy cost 10.84 → 12.22; homicide (age-adjusted deaths per 100,000) 2.2 → 2.3; water quality (% of systems with a violation) 5.69 → 8.04; unemployment 2.4 → 3.6; air quality 44 → 45; cost of living 94.59 → 98.86; food-aid access 0.42 → 0.41. 6 moved the right way. Judged by each category's own printed endpoints over its measured years — the score also weighs standing against other states, which is a different question.

Exogenous events inside this window — 1. COVID-19 public health emergency (WHO PHEIC: Jan 30, 2020 – May 5, 2023). Years these events touch are outliers on several series — those moves belong to the events at least as much as to anyone in office, so they are marked on every chart on this page, and no verdict here rests on a single year.

How this is scored: 60% is where Utah stands against the other 49 states today — it is below average on 6 of 14 scored categories, and 40% is which way it moved on Gov. Cox's watch. The same weighting applies to every governor. Because standing is the larger half, this ranks state outcomes with the sitting governor named — Gov. Cox inherited much of it, and the movement half is what changed since.

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Utah’s debt on their watch

context — not this governor’s grade

When Gov. Cox took office in 2021, Utah’s state government owed $7.6 billion (fiscal 2020; Census). The latest published figure is $5.6 billion (fiscal 2024 — the Census survey runs about two years behind). A state’s debt is set by budgets a governor proposes and signs, a legislature that writes and amends them, bond votes, and the economy — it is shared, which is why it is context here and not part of the grade. Figures cover the state government only, not cities, counties or school districts — and they count bonded debt, not unfunded pension obligations, which are a separate and often large part of what a state owes. Source: Census Bureau.

$2B$4B$6B$8B202020222024COVID-19 public health emergency (WHO PHEIC: Jan 30, 2020 – May 5, 2023)COVID-19 ’20–’23COVID-19 recession (NBER: Feb 2020 – Apr 2020)recession ’20$5.6 billion
State government debt outstanding, fiscal 20202024, in nominal dollars — state government only, excluding cities, counties and school districts; no inflation adjustment. Y-axis starts at zero. Source: Census Bureau. Shaded spans and dashed marks (dated on the rail below the chart): exogenous events — recessions as dated by the NBER, the COVID-19 emergency as dated by the WHO, and NOAA-recorded $100B+ hurricanes — the outlier years are theirs, not any one officeholder's.
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And the promises beyond the bonds

Bonded debt is not the whole of what a state owes. Public pension plans in Utah have promised benefits valued at $55.2 billion against $43.2 billion actually held — an unfunded gap of $12.0 billion, 78% funded (2022, the latest year published). When Gov. Cox took office, the gap stood at $18.5 billion (2020). These promises accumulated over decades, under many governors and legislatures — the most inherited numbers on this page — and the figures cover defined-benefit pension plans sponsored by state and local governments for their employees, so local-government plans are included alongside the state’s own. Source: Federal Reserve.

$20B$40B$60B200220122022The Great Recession (NBER: Dec 2007 – Jun 2009)Great Recession ’07–’09COVID-19 public health emergency (WHO PHEIC: Jan 30, 2020 – May 5, 2023)COVID-19 ’20–’21COVID-19 recession (NBER: Feb 2020 – Apr 2020)recession ’20promised $55.2 billionheld $43.2 billion
Pension promises (top line) against plan holdings (bottom line), 20022022, in nominal dollars; the space between them is the unfunded gap. Y-axis starts at zero. Source: Federal Reserve, Enhanced Financial Accounts. Shaded spans and dashed marks (dated on the rail below the chart): exogenous events — recessions as dated by the NBER, the COVID-19 emergency as dated by the WHO, and NOAA-recorded $100B+ hurricanes — the outlier years are theirs, not any one officeholder's.
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Integrity Record

facts from official records — not a score

Honesty is not numerically scored on this site. For a governor, the record that can fairly bear on it is the Adjudicated Record: findings by bodies that cannot reach a party-line verdict — a court of record, or a state body that is evenly bipartisan by rule. A final such finding caps the grade (it never raises it); nothing else here touches the number. The two ledgers that a member of Congress carries — votes against bills they endorsed, and spoken commitments tested against roll calls — do not apply to a governor, who casts no roll-call votes and leaves no uniform speech record; they are named here so their absence is a stated boundary, not a silent gap.

Adjudicated record

the only tier that can cap a grade

Record search for Cox: 0 of 2 admitted sources connected, 0 qualifying events. The event feeds are not yet wired, so this searches no events today — a stated gap, not a finding of innocence. What is already fixed is the rule, published before any event: a cap applies only on a final finding from an admitted body (Tier 1 → F, Tier 2 → C-, Tier 3 → B).

  • AdmittedFederal court judgments (deception-map offenses) (admitted by rule — event feed not yet wired)
  • AdmittedUT courts of record (criminal judgments on the deception map) (admitted by rule — event feed not yet wired)
  • not admittedUT state ethics body: not shown to be evenly bipartisan by rule (or unverified); a body without a mandated partisan balance cannot cap a grade
  • excluded by ruleUT legislative impeachment / removal: a legislative majority is not an evenly-bipartisan adjudicator

What this measures: findings by courts and evenly-bipartisan bodies against Cox. What it does not: truthfulness of speech, campaign promises, or anything a partisan body decided — those are excluded on purpose. Dispute anything: challenge@politicalgrades.com. Read the rulebook.

Unemployment Rate, 20102025

Utah against all 49 other states · 2025 is an 11-month average — October 2025 was never collected (federal shutdown)
scored window (20222025)COVID-19 public health emergency (WHO PHEIC: Jan 30, 2020 – May 5, 2023)COVID-19 ’20–’23COVID-19 recession (NBER: Feb 2020 – Apr 2020)recession ’2002468101214%2010201520202025took officeUtah50-state medianCOVID-19 public health emergency (WHO PHEIC: Jan 30, 2020 – May 5, 2023)COVID-19 ’20–’23COVID-19 recession (NBER: Feb 2020 – Apr 2020)recession ’200815%20152025
Utah 50-state median Other 49 states Scored window

Annual-average unemployment rate — the headline economic series, charted in full. The shaded band is its scored window: it opens with the first full calendar year after the attribution lag, so a governor sworn in mid-year starts a year later than one sworn in that January. It tracks through the newest published data. The dashed line is the 50-state median, shown for context; scoring uses the median of the other 49 states. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics.

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The Record

Gov. Cox was elected in 2020 and sworn in on Jan. 4, 2021. Spencer Cox is now serving a 2nd consecutive term; the current term began Jan. 2025. The scored record above covers Utah's outcomes during this continuous service, lagged per category (each category's lag was fixed before scoring).

Show the Work

every category score, and how the overall is built from them
Air quality (EPA AirData)−0.68σ · window 20222024 (3 pts) · state +1.1%/yr vs peers 0.00%/yr
Water quality (EPA SDWIS/ECHO)−0.33σ · window 20222025 (4 pts) · state +0.35pp/yr vs peers −0.11pp/yr
Unemployment (BLS LAUS)−0.40σ · window 20222025 (4 pts) · state +15.2%/yr vs peers +6.5%/yr
Health coverage (CDC BRFSS)+0.23σ · window 20222024 (3 pts) · state −2.3%/yr vs peers +2.9%/yr
Tax burden (Census STC ÷ BEA personal income)+0.54σ · window 20212024 (4 pts) · state −3.9%/yr vs peers +0.11%/yr
Energy cost (EIA)+0.23σ · window 20222024 (3 pts) · state +6.2%/yr vs peers +4.0%/yr
Cost of living (BEA)−0.99σ · window 20222024 (3 pts) · state +2.2%/yr vs peers +0.14%/yr
Homicide (CDC WONDER)−0.01σ · window 20222024 (3 pts) · state +2.3%/yr vs peers −9.2%/yr
Teen births (CDC WONDER)+0.66σ · window 20222024 (3 pts) · state −4.5%/yr vs peers −4.2%/yr
Wellbeing (CDC BRFSS)+0.32σ · window 20222024 (3 pts) · state −2.9%/yr vs peers 0.00%/yr
Obesity (CDC BRFSS)+0.26σ · window 20232024 (2 pts, thin) · state +2.8%/yr vs peers +0.69%/yr
Gun deaths (CDC WONDER)−0.09σ · window 20222024 (3 pts) · state −1.5%/yr vs peers −4.6%/yr
Food-aid access (USDA FNS)−1.39σ · window 20222023 (2 pts, thin) · state −3.8%/yr vs peers +2.5%/yr
Jobless-benefit access (US DOL ETA)−0.01σ · window 20222024 (3 pts) · state +9.9%/yr vs peers +5.6%/yr
Overall (citizen-weighted mean of domain scores, minus transparency)−0.10σ = weighted −0.10σ · equal-weight −0.12σ · economy −0.39 ×.185 · health +0.37 ×.152 · environment −0.51 ×.114 · public safety −0.05 ×.147 · social services −0.70 ×.112 · fiscal +0.54 ×.137 (weights renormalized over the domains present)
Methodologyv3.0, preregistered — directions and lags fixed before scoring; full dataset at /governors.json

Each score blends two z-scores against the other states: where the state stands today (60%) and which way it moved over the category’s window (40%), capped at ±2.5σ. The trend is a fitted slope — log-linear, except where zero is a legal value (water quality), fitted linearly and reported in percentage points — measured against the median trend of the other states with enough data in the same window, 49 in most categories and fewer wherever a state-year is missing. Because standing carries the larger share, a positive score does not mean the trend improved: on 3 of the 14 scored categories on this page the two point opposite ways, which is why both columns are printed.

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Cite this

Utah has tracked the typical state almost exactly under Gov. Cox — No. 18 of the 29 governors ranked — 38 of 50 are rated, the other 9 are early reads held out of the ranking — across 14 categories. — Political Grades, methodology v3.0, data through 2023–2025 by category. Provisional; trend-vs-peers scoring; relative movement, not causation.

Also Tracked in Utah

the state’s other officials on this site