July 20, 2026Methodology v2.1 · Data: BLS, 20102025
Political Grades
government — just the stats

GovernorsVermont

Vermont Under Phil Scott

Republican · Sworn in Jan. 5, 2017 · Now in 5th term

Vermont has tracked the other 49 states almost exactly under Gov. Scott — No. 7 of 29 governors with rated records, across 16 categories.

Phil Scott
Vermont · Republican · since Jan. 2017 · 5th term
Overall · citizen-weighted
No. 7 of 29
+0.15σ · 16 of 20 categories
equal-weight: +0.12σ · weighting helps
CategoryLatestScore vs. peers
HonestyIn human review
Spending disciplineRubric in development
Education scale score275.624−0.96σ
Air quality AQI36.524+0.43σ
Water quality % of community systems2.525+0.12σ
Unemployment %2.725+0.25σ
Health coverage % of adults 18-646.524−0.28σ
Tax burden % of personal income10.024+0.04σ
Energy cost cents/kWh21.924+0.27σ
Cost of living index, US=10098.024+1.21σ
Crime deaths per 100,0003.224+2.14σ*
Teen births per 1,000 females 15-196.324+0.33σ
Wellbeing mean days of past 304.924−0.26σ
School food qualityRubric in development
School shootings024Context · 0/10yr
Obesity % of adults29.024−0.56σ
Early literacy % of 4th graders41.824−1.23σ
Gun deaths deaths per 100,000 (age-adjusted)10.624+1.43σ
Food-aid access index (higher = easier access)0.923−0.06σ
Jobless-benefit access % of unemployed receiving UI31.924−1.05σ
Data transparency 100% of state-run reporting delivered this tenureFull reporting

Scores are trends vs. the other 49 states over this governor’s window, in σ; *thin data (under 3 points). Tap ? on any row for what it measures, its chart, and the source. All provisional while the term runs. Methodology v2.1

Unemployment Rate, 20102025

Vermont against all 49 other states
scored window (20182025)02468101214%2010201520202025took officeVermont50-state median0815%20152025
Vermont 50-state median Other 49 states Scored window

Annual-average unemployment rate — the longest-running series on the card, charted in full. The shaded band is its scored window: it opens one year after inauguration and tracks through the newest published data. The dashed line is the 50-state median, shown for context; scoring uses the median of the other 49 states. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics.

The Record

Gov. Scott was elected in 2016 and sworn in on Jan. 5, 2017. Phil Scott is now serving a 5th consecutive term; the current term began Jan. 2025. The scored record above covers Vermont's outcomes during this continuous service, lagged per category (each category's lag was fixed before scoring).

Show the Work

every published number, reproducible
Education (NAEP (Nation's Report Card))−0.96σ · window 20192024 (3 pts) · state −0.8%/yr vs peers −0.6%/yr
Air quality (EPA AirData)+0.43σ · window 20182024 (7 pts) · state −0.4%/yr vs peers +0.3%/yr
Water quality (EPA SDWIS/ECHO)+0.12σ · window 20182025 (8 pts) · state −0.1%/yr vs peers −0.1%/yr
Unemployment (BLS LAUS)+0.25σ · window 20182025 (8 pts) · state −3.1%/yr vs peers −2.5%/yr
Health coverage (CDC BRFSS)−0.28σ · window 20182024 (7 pts) · state −5.7%/yr vs peers −6.7%/yr
Tax burden (Census STC ÷ BEA personal income)+0.04σ · window 20172024 (8 pts) · state +0.6%/yr vs peers +0.7%/yr
Energy cost (EIA)+0.27σ · window 20182024 (7 pts) · state +3.4%/yr vs peers +3.9%/yr
Cost of living (BEA)+1.21σ · window 20182024 (7 pts) · state −0.5%/yr vs peers −0.0%/yr
Crime (CDC WONDER)+2.14σ · window 20182024 (2 pts, thin) · state −5.9%/yr vs peers +2.1%/yr
Teen births (CDC WONDER)+0.33σ · window 20182024 (7 pts) · state −6.1%/yr vs peers −5.7%/yr
Wellbeing (CDC BRFSS)−0.26σ · window 20182024 (7 pts) · state +3.6%/yr vs peers +3.3%/yr
Obesity (CDC BRFSS)−0.56σ · window 20192024 (6 pts) · state +1.8%/yr vs peers +1.4%/yr
Early literacy (NAEP (Nation's Report Card))−1.23σ · window 20192024 (3 pts) · state +5.9%/yr vs peers +3.7%/yr
Gun deaths (CDC WONDER)+1.43σ · window 20182024 (7 pts) · state −0.1%/yr vs peers +2.1%/yr
Food-aid access (USDA FNS)−0.06σ · window 20182023 (5 pts) · state +1.6%/yr vs peers +1.8%/yr
Jobless-benefit access (US DOL ETA)−1.05σ · window 20182024 (7 pts) · state −9.2%/yr vs peers −4.8%/yr
Overall (mean of domain scores)+0.15σ · economy +0.58 · health −0.19 · environment +0.28 · public_safety +1.78 · education −1.09 · social_services −0.56 · fiscal +0.04
Methodologyv2.1, preregistered — directions and lags fixed before scoring; full dataset at /pwr.json

Every score is a fitted log-linear trend over that category’s window, minus the median trend of the other 49 states, standardized by the spread across states (σ) and capped at ±2.5. Positive always means “moved better than peers” under the category’s preregistered direction.

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Vermont has tracked the other 49 states almost exactly under Gov. Scott — No. 7 of 29 governors with rated records, across 16 categories. — Political Grades, methodology v2.1, data through 2025. Provisional; trend-vs-peers scoring; relative movement, not causation.