July 20, 2026Methodology v2.1 · Data: BLS, 20102025
Political Grades
government — just the stats

GovernorsMontana

Montana Under Greg Gianforte

Republican · Sworn in Jan. 4, 2021 · Now in 2nd term

Montana has tracked the other 49 states almost exactly under Gov. Gianforte — No. 14 of 29 governors with rated records, across 14 categories.

Greg Gianforte
Montana · Republican · since Jan. 2021 · 2nd term
Overall · citizen-weighted
No. 14 of 29
−0.06σ · 14 of 20 categories
equal-weight: +0.02σ · weighting hurts
CategoryLatestScore vs. peers
HonestyIn human review
Spending disciplineRubric in development
Education scale score279.124Insufficient data
Air quality AQI2224+2.50σ
Water quality % of community systems4.925+0.10σ
Unemployment %3.325−0.17σ
Health coverage % of adults 18-6411.824−1.35σ
Tax burden % of personal income6.024+0.08σ
Energy cost cents/kWh12.724−0.43σ
Cost of living index, US=10094.624−2.27σ
Crime deaths per 100,0004.524−0.06σ
Teen births per 1,000 females 15-1911.124+0.20σ
Wellbeing mean days of past 305.1240.00σ
School food qualityRubric in development
School shootings024Context · 0/10yr
Obesity % of adults31.024−0.21σ*
Early literacy % of 4th graders37.824Insufficient data
Gun deaths deaths per 100,000 (age-adjusted)20.224+0.77σ
Food-aid access index (higher = easier access)0.523−0.92σ*
Jobless-benefit access % of unemployed receiving UI38.324+0.33σ
Data transparency 100% of state-run reporting delivered this tenureFull reporting

Scores are trends vs. the other 49 states over this governor’s window, in σ; *thin data (under 3 points). Tap ? on any row for what it measures, its chart, and the source. All provisional while the term runs. Methodology v2.1

Unemployment Rate, 20102025

Montana against all 49 other states
scored window (20222025)02468101214%2010201520202025took officeMontana50-state median0815%20152025
Montana 50-state median Other 49 states Scored window

Annual-average unemployment rate — the longest-running series on the card, charted in full. The shaded band is its scored window: it opens one year after inauguration and tracks through the newest published data. The dashed line is the 50-state median, shown for context; scoring uses the median of the other 49 states. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics.

The Record

Gov. Gianforte was elected in 2020 and sworn in on Jan. 4, 2021. Greg Gianforte is now serving a 2nd consecutive term; the current term began Jan. 2025. The scored record above covers Montana's outcomes during this continuous service, lagged per category (each category's lag was fixed before scoring).

Show the Work

every published number, reproducible
Air quality (EPA AirData)+2.50σ · window 20222024 (3 pts) · state −19.6%/yr vs peers 0.0%/yr · pre-cap +4.37σ
Water quality (EPA SDWIS/ECHO)+0.10σ · window 20222025 (4 pts) · state −0.1%/yr vs peers +0.0%/yr
Unemployment (BLS LAUS)−0.17σ · window 20222025 (4 pts) · state +7.3%/yr vs peers +6.5%/yr
Health coverage (CDC BRFSS)−1.35σ · window 20222024 (3 pts) · state +18.7%/yr vs peers +2.7%/yr
Tax burden (Census STC ÷ BEA personal income)+0.08σ · window 20212024 (4 pts) · state −0.2%/yr vs peers +0.1%/yr
Energy cost (EIA)−0.43σ · window 20222024 (3 pts) · state +5.7%/yr vs peers +4.0%/yr
Cost of living (BEA)−2.27σ · window 20222024 (3 pts) · state +2.5%/yr vs peers +0.1%/yr
Crime (CDC WONDER)−0.06σ · window 20222024 (3 pts) · state −8.7%/yr vs peers −9.1%/yr
Teen births (CDC WONDER)+0.20σ · window 20222024 (3 pts) · state −4.6%/yr vs peers −4.2%/yr
Wellbeing (CDC BRFSS)0.00σ · window 20222024 (3 pts) · state 0.0%/yr vs peers 0.0%/yr
Obesity (CDC BRFSS)−0.21σ · window 20232024 (2 pts, thin) · state +1.5%/yr vs peers +0.7%/yr
Gun deaths (CDC WONDER)+0.77σ · window 20222024 (3 pts) · state −8.1%/yr vs peers −3.6%/yr
Food-aid access (USDA FNS)−0.92σ · window 20222023 (2 pts, thin) · state −3.9%/yr vs peers +2.5%/yr
Jobless-benefit access (US DOL ETA)+0.33σ · window 20222024 (3 pts) · state +9.3%/yr vs peers +5.6%/yr
Overall (mean of domain scores)−0.06σ · economy −0.96 · health −0.34 · environment +1.30 · public_safety +0.35 · social_services −0.29 · fiscal +0.08
Methodologyv2.1, preregistered — directions and lags fixed before scoring; full dataset at /pwr.json

Every score is a fitted log-linear trend over that category’s window, minus the median trend of the other 49 states, standardized by the spread across states (σ) and capped at ±2.5. Positive always means “moved better than peers” under the category’s preregistered direction.

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Montana has tracked the other 49 states almost exactly under Gov. Gianforte — No. 14 of 29 governors with rated records, across 14 categories. — Political Grades, methodology v2.1, data through 2025. Provisional; trend-vs-peers scoring; relative movement, not causation.