July 20, 2026Methodology v2.1 · Data: BLS, 20102025
Political Grades
government — just the stats

GovernorsMichigan

Michigan Under Gretchen Whitmer

Democratic · Sworn in Jan. 1, 2019 · Now in 2nd term

Michigan has tracked the other 49 states almost exactly under Gov. Whitmer — No. 10 of 29 governors with rated records, across 16 categories.

Gretchen Whitmer
Michigan · Democratic · since Jan. 2019 · 2nd term
Overall · citizen-weighted
No. 10 of 29
+0.04σ · 16 of 20 categories
equal-weight: +0.05σ · weighting hurts
CategoryLatestScore vs. peers
HonestyIn human review
Spending disciplineRubric in development
Education scale score27024−0.98σ*
Air quality AQI38.524−0.25σ
Water quality % of community systems2.725+0.01σ
Unemployment %5.225−0.07σ
Health coverage % of adults 18-647.324−0.66σ
Tax burden % of personal income6.024−0.10σ
Energy cost cents/kWh19.324+0.24σ
Cost of living index, US=10096.224−0.56σ
Crime deaths per 100,0005.724+0.92σ
Teen births per 1,000 females 15-1910.324+1.08σ
Wellbeing mean days of past 305.324+0.72σ
School food qualityRubric in development
School shootings024Context · 14/10yr
Obesity % of adults36.124−0.68σ
Early literacy % of 4th graders45.424−0.62σ*
Gun deaths deaths per 100,000 (age-adjusted)11.924+1.33σ
Food-aid access index (higher = easier access)0.923+0.90σ
Jobless-benefit access % of unemployed receiving UI2324−0.36σ
Data transparency 100% of state-run reporting delivered this tenureFull reporting

Scores are trends vs. the other 49 states over this governor’s window, in σ; *thin data (under 3 points). Tap ? on any row for what it measures, its chart, and the source. All provisional while the term runs. Methodology v2.1

Unemployment Rate, 20102025

Michigan against all 49 other states
scored window (20202025)02468101214%2010201520202025took officeMichigan50-state median0815%20152025
Michigan 50-state median Other 49 states Scored window

Annual-average unemployment rate — the longest-running series on the card, charted in full. The shaded band is its scored window: it opens one year after inauguration and tracks through the newest published data. The dashed line is the 50-state median, shown for context; scoring uses the median of the other 49 states. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics.

The Record

Gov. Whitmer was elected in 2018 and sworn in on Jan. 1, 2019. Gretchen Whitmer is now serving a 2nd consecutive term; the current term began Jan. 2023. The scored record above covers Michigan's outcomes during this continuous service, lagged per category (each category's lag was fixed before scoring).

Show the Work

every published number, reproducible
Education (NAEP (Nation's Report Card))−0.98σ · window 20212024 (2 pts, thin) · state −0.5%/yr vs peers −0.1%/yr
Air quality (EPA AirData)−0.25σ · window 20202024 (5 pts) · state +1.3%/yr vs peers +0.7%/yr
Water quality (EPA SDWIS/ECHO)+0.01σ · window 20202025 (6 pts) · state +0.1%/yr vs peers +0.1%/yr
Unemployment (BLS LAUS)−0.07σ · window 20202025 (6 pts) · state −10.6%/yr vs peers −10.9%/yr
Health coverage (CDC BRFSS)−0.66σ · window 20202024 (5 pts) · state −3.2%/yr vs peers −6.4%/yr
Tax burden (Census STC ÷ BEA personal income)−0.10σ · window 20192024 (6 pts) · state +1.2%/yr vs peers +1.0%/yr
Energy cost (EIA)+0.24σ · window 20202024 (5 pts) · state +4.2%/yr vs peers +4.8%/yr
Cost of living (BEA)−0.56σ · window 20202024 (5 pts) · state +0.4%/yr vs peers +0.1%/yr
Crime (CDC WONDER)+0.92σ · window 20202024 (5 pts) · state −10.3%/yr vs peers −5.9%/yr
Teen births (CDC WONDER)+1.08σ · window 20202024 (5 pts) · state −6.3%/yr vs peers −4.6%/yr
Wellbeing (CDC BRFSS)+0.72σ · window 20202024 (5 pts) · state +1.9%/yr vs peers +3.4%/yr
Obesity (CDC BRFSS)−0.68σ · window 20212024 (4 pts) · state +1.8%/yr vs peers +0.7%/yr
Early literacy (NAEP (Nation's Report Card))−0.62σ · window 20212024 (2 pts, thin) · state +4.0%/yr vs peers +1.8%/yr
Gun deaths (CDC WONDER)+1.33σ · window 20202024 (5 pts) · state −5.0%/yr vs peers −1.4%/yr
Food-aid access (USDA FNS)+0.90σ · window 20202023 (3 pts) · state +6.5%/yr vs peers +0.9%/yr
Jobless-benefit access (US DOL ETA)−0.36σ · window 20202024 (5 pts) · state −24.8%/yr vs peers −22.0%/yr
Overall (mean of domain scores)+0.04σ · economy −0.13 · health +0.12 · environment −0.12 · public_safety +1.13 · education −0.80 · social_services +0.27 · fiscal −0.10
Methodologyv2.1, preregistered — directions and lags fixed before scoring; full dataset at /pwr.json

Every score is a fitted log-linear trend over that category’s window, minus the median trend of the other 49 states, standardized by the spread across states (σ) and capped at ±2.5. Positive always means “moved better than peers” under the category’s preregistered direction.

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Michigan has tracked the other 49 states almost exactly under Gov. Whitmer — No. 10 of 29 governors with rated records, across 16 categories. — Political Grades, methodology v2.1, data through 2025. Provisional; trend-vs-peers scoring; relative movement, not causation.