Sept. 3, 2026Methodology v3.0 · State metrics: 12 source systems, data through 2023–2025 by metric
Political Grades
government — just the stats

GovernorsIllinois

Illinois Under JB Pritzker

Democratic · Sworn in Jan. 14, 2019 · Now in 2nd term

Illinois has tracked the typical state almost exactly under Gov. Pritzker — No. 14 of the 29 governors ranked — 38 of 50 are rated, the other 9 are early reads held out of the ranking — across 16 categories.

The Executive Summary

Gov. JB Pritzker (D) has held Illinois's governorship since Jan. 2019; on outcome trends versus the other states, Illinois sits No. 14 of 29 ranked states, across 16 scored categories. On Pritzker's watch, unemployment fell 9.3% → 4.6% while the typical state fell 7.3% → 4.0% between 2020 and 2025. Over the same service, water quality (% of systems with a violation) rose 1.9% → 5.0% while the typical state rose 4.3% → 4.9% between 2020 and 2025. In all, of the 13 scored categories with data at both ends of their measured windows, 7 moved the right way on their own numbers and 6 moved the wrong way. These are movements on the governor's watch — shared with the legislature and the economy, and the window includes COVID-19 public health emergency (WHO PHEIC: Jan 30, 2020 – May 5, 2023) and COVID-19 recession (NBER: Feb 2020 – Apr 2020) — association, not causation.

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JB Pritzker
Illinois · Democratic · since Jan. 2019 · 2nd term
Overall · citizen-weighted
No. 14 of 29
−0.03σ · 16 of 20 categories
equal-weight: −0.00σ · weighting hurts
weights: Pew Research Center, Jan. 2024
CategoryLatestScore vs. peers
HonestyNot numerically scored — see Integrity Record
Spending disciplineScoring rule in development
Education scale score277.424+0.88σ*
Air quality AQI4324−0.14σ
Water quality % of systems with a violation5.025−0.14σ
Unemployment %4.625−0.46σ
Health coverage % of adults 18-64 uninsured11.524−0.82σ
Tax burden % of personal income7.224−1.01σ
Energy cost cents/kWh15.924−0.05σ
Cost of living index, US=100100.024+0.03σ
Homicide age-adjusted deaths per 100,0008.724−0.31σ
Teen births per 1,000 females 15-1910.424+0.55σ
Wellbeing mean poor-mental-health days of 304.324+0.06σ
School food qualityScoring rule in development
School shootings024Context · 8/10yr
Obesity % of adults34.224−0.04σ
Early literacy % of 4th-graders below basic40.724−0.29σ*
Gun deaths age-adjusted deaths per 100,00012.424+0.63σ
Food-aid access index (higher = easier access)1.123+1.28σ
Jobless-benefit access % of unemployed receiving UI30.124+0.50σ
Data transparency — CDC BRFSS survey-years delivered: 6 of 6 in this governor’s window (the only state-run collection scored; BRFSS data through 2024)Full reporting

Each score blends where the state stands today with its trend over this governor’s window, vs. the other states with comparable data — 49 in most categories, fewer wherever a state-year is missing. Scores are in standard deviations (σ) — how far above or below the other states this one sits, where 0 is the middle of the pack and ±1 is a wide gap. *thin data (under 3 points). Tap ? on any row for what it measures, its chart, and the source. All provisional while the term runs. Methodology v3.0

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The Rundown

No. 14 of 29 — below the national average on 8 of its 16 scored categories.

Gun deaths (age-adjusted deaths per 100,000). Better than the typical state, and moving the right way: 14.1 → 12.4 while the typical state fell 14.3 → 14.1.

Tax burden (% of personal income). Worse than the typical state, and losing ground: 6.1% → 7.2% while the typical state fell 6.1% → 6.0% — opposite directions. Worst category on the card.

Moved the wrong way on Pritzker's watch — 6 of 13 scored categories. jobless-benefit access (% of unemployed receiving UI) 66.9 → 30.14; wellbeing (mean poor-mental-health days of 30) 3.1 → 4.3; energy cost 13.04 → 15.87; water quality (% of systems with a violation) 1.87 → 4.97; health coverage (% of adults 18-64 uninsured) 11.2 → 11.46; tax burden (% of personal income) 6.13 → 7.15. 7 moved the right way. Judged by each category's own printed endpoints over its measured years — the score also weighs standing against other states, which is a different question.

Exogenous events inside this window — 2. COVID-19 public health emergency (WHO PHEIC: Jan 30, 2020 – May 5, 2023); COVID-19 recession (NBER: Feb 2020 – Apr 2020). Years these events touch are outliers on several series — those moves belong to the events at least as much as to anyone in office, so they are marked on every chart on this page, and no verdict here rests on a single year.

How this is scored: 60% is where Illinois stands against the other 49 states today — it is below average on 8 of 16 scored categories, and 40% is which way it moved on Gov. Pritzker's watch. The same weighting applies to every governor. Because standing is the larger half, this ranks state outcomes with the sitting governor named — Gov. Pritzker inherited much of it, and the movement half is what changed since.

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Illinois’s debt on their watch

context — not this governor’s grade

When Gov. Pritzker took office in 2019, Illinois’s state government owed $67.3 billion (fiscal 2018; Census). The latest published figure is $43.4 billion (fiscal 2024 — the Census survey runs about two years behind). A state’s debt is set by budgets a governor proposes and signs, a legislature that writes and amends them, bond votes, and the economy — it is shared, which is why it is context here and not part of the grade. Figures cover the state government only, not cities, counties or school districts — and they count bonded debt, not unfunded pension obligations, which are a separate and often large part of what a state owes. Source: Census Bureau.

$20B$40B$60B$80B201820212024COVID-19 public health emergency (WHO PHEIC: Jan 30, 2020 – May 5, 2023)COVID-19 ’20–’23COVID-19 recession (NBER: Feb 2020 – Apr 2020)recession ’20$43.4 billion
State government debt outstanding, fiscal 20182024, in nominal dollars — state government only, excluding cities, counties and school districts; no inflation adjustment. Y-axis starts at zero. Source: Census Bureau. Shaded spans and dashed marks (dated on the rail below the chart): exogenous events — recessions as dated by the NBER, the COVID-19 emergency as dated by the WHO, and NOAA-recorded $100B+ hurricanes — the outlier years are theirs, not any one officeholder's.
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And the promises beyond the bonds

Bonded debt is not the whole of what a state owes. Public pension plans in Illinois have promised benefits valued at $530.2 billion against $206.0 billion actually held — an unfunded gap of $324.2 billion, 39% funded (2022, the latest year published). When Gov. Pritzker took office, the gap stood at $387.4 billion (2018). These promises accumulated over decades, under many governors and legislatures — the most inherited numbers on this page — and the figures cover defined-benefit pension plans sponsored by state and local governments for their employees, so local-government plans are included alongside the state’s own. Source: Federal Reserve.

$200B$400B$600B200220122022The Great Recession (NBER: Dec 2007 – Jun 2009)Great Recession ’07–’09COVID-19 public health emergency (WHO PHEIC: Jan 30, 2020 – May 5, 2023)COVID-19 ’20–’21COVID-19 recession (NBER: Feb 2020 – Apr 2020)recession ’20promised $530.2 billionheld $206.0 billion
Pension promises (top line) against plan holdings (bottom line), 20022022, in nominal dollars; the space between them is the unfunded gap. Y-axis starts at zero. Source: Federal Reserve, Enhanced Financial Accounts. Shaded spans and dashed marks (dated on the rail below the chart): exogenous events — recessions as dated by the NBER, the COVID-19 emergency as dated by the WHO, and NOAA-recorded $100B+ hurricanes — the outlier years are theirs, not any one officeholder's.
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Integrity Record

facts from official records — not a score

Honesty is not numerically scored on this site. For a governor, the record that can fairly bear on it is the Adjudicated Record: findings by bodies that cannot reach a party-line verdict — a court of record, or a state body that is evenly bipartisan by rule. A final such finding caps the grade (it never raises it); nothing else here touches the number. The two ledgers that a member of Congress carries — votes against bills they endorsed, and spoken commitments tested against roll calls — do not apply to a governor, who casts no roll-call votes and leaves no uniform speech record; they are named here so their absence is a stated boundary, not a silent gap.

Adjudicated record

the only tier that can cap a grade

Record search for Pritzker: 0 of 2 admitted sources connected, 0 qualifying events. The event feeds are not yet wired, so this searches no events today — a stated gap, not a finding of innocence. What is already fixed is the rule, published before any event: a cap applies only on a final finding from an admitted body (Tier 1 → F, Tier 2 → C-, Tier 3 → B).

  • AdmittedFederal court judgments (deception-map offenses) (admitted by rule — event feed not yet wired)
  • AdmittedIL courts of record (criminal judgments on the deception map) (admitted by rule — event feed not yet wired)
  • not admittedIL state ethics body: not shown to be evenly bipartisan by rule (or unverified); a body without a mandated partisan balance cannot cap a grade
  • excluded by ruleIL legislative impeachment / removal: a legislative majority is not an evenly-bipartisan adjudicator

What this measures: findings by courts and evenly-bipartisan bodies against Pritzker. What it does not: truthfulness of speech, campaign promises, or anything a partisan body decided — those are excluded on purpose. Dispute anything: challenge@politicalgrades.com. Read the rulebook.

Unemployment Rate, 20102025

Illinois against all 49 other states · 2025 is an 11-month average — October 2025 was never collected (federal shutdown)
scored window (20202025)COVID-19 public health emergency (WHO PHEIC: Jan 30, 2020 – May 5, 2023)COVID-19 ’20–’23COVID-19 recession (NBER: Feb 2020 – Apr 2020)recession ’2002468101214%2010201520202025took officeIllinois50-state medianCOVID-19 public health emergency (WHO PHEIC: Jan 30, 2020 – May 5, 2023)COVID-19 ’20–’23COVID-19 recession (NBER: Feb 2020 – Apr 2020)recession ’200815%20152025
Illinois 50-state median Other 49 states Scored window

Annual-average unemployment rate — the headline economic series, charted in full. The shaded band is its scored window: it opens with the first full calendar year after the attribution lag, so a governor sworn in mid-year starts a year later than one sworn in that January. It tracks through the newest published data. The dashed line is the 50-state median, shown for context; scoring uses the median of the other 49 states. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics.

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The Record

Gov. Pritzker was elected in 2018 and sworn in on Jan. 14, 2019. JB Pritzker is now serving a 2nd consecutive term; the current term began Jan. 2023. The scored record above covers Illinois's outcomes during this continuous service, lagged per category (each category's lag was fixed before scoring).

Show the Work

every category score, and how the overall is built from them
Education (NAEP (Nation's Report Card))+0.88σ · window 20212024 (2 pts, thin) · state +0.40%/yr vs peers −0.07%/yr
Air quality (EPA AirData)−0.14σ · window 20202024 (5 pts) · state −0.46%/yr vs peers +0.94%/yr
Water quality (EPA SDWIS/ECHO)−0.14σ · window 20202025 (6 pts) · state +0.52pp/yr vs peers +0.09pp/yr
Unemployment (BLS LAUS)−0.46σ · window 20202025 (6 pts) · state −11.2%/yr vs peers −10.7%/yr
Health coverage (CDC BRFSS)−0.82σ · window 20202024 (5 pts) · state +1.1%/yr vs peers −6.4%/yr
Tax burden (Census STC ÷ BEA personal income)−1.01σ · window 20192024 (6 pts) · state +5.0%/yr vs peers +1.0%/yr
Energy cost (EIA)−0.05σ · window 20202024 (5 pts) · state +5.8%/yr vs peers +4.8%/yr
Cost of living (BEA)+0.03σ · window 20202024 (5 pts) · state −0.33%/yr vs peers +0.09%/yr
Homicide (CDC WONDER)−0.31σ · window 20202024 (5 pts) · state −7.1%/yr vs peers −5.9%/yr
Teen births (CDC WONDER)+0.55σ · window 20202024 (5 pts) · state −5.6%/yr vs peers −4.6%/yr
Wellbeing (CDC BRFSS)+0.06σ · window 20202024 (5 pts) · state +7.5%/yr vs peers +3.4%/yr
Obesity (CDC BRFSS)−0.04σ · window 20212024 (4 pts) · state +0.73%/yr vs peers +0.71%/yr
Early literacy (NAEP (Nation's Report Card))−0.29σ · window 20212024 (2 pts, thin) · state +4.0%/yr vs peers +1.8%/yr
Gun deaths (CDC WONDER)+0.63σ · window 20202024 (5 pts) · state −4.2%/yr vs peers −1.4%/yr
Food-aid access (USDA FNS)+1.28σ · window 20202023 (3 pts) · state +4.2%/yr vs peers +0.90%/yr
Jobless-benefit access (US DOL ETA)+0.50σ · window 20202024 (5 pts) · state −18.4%/yr vs peers −22.3%/yr
Overall (citizen-weighted mean of domain scores, minus transparency)−0.03σ = weighted −0.03σ · equal-weight −0.00σ · economy −0.16 ×.185 · health −0.07 ×.152 · environment −0.14 ×.114 · public safety +0.16 ×.147 · social services +0.89 ×.112 · education +0.30 ×.152 · fiscal −1.01 ×.137 (weights renormalized over the domains present)
Methodologyv3.0, preregistered — directions and lags fixed before scoring; full dataset at /governors.json

Each score blends two z-scores against the other states: where the state stands today (60%) and which way it moved over the category’s window (40%), capped at ±2.5σ. The trend is a fitted slope — log-linear, except where zero is a legal value (water quality), fitted linearly and reported in percentage points — measured against the median trend of the other states with enough data in the same window, 49 in most categories and fewer wherever a state-year is missing. Because standing carries the larger share, a positive score does not mean the trend improved: on 4 of the 16 scored categories on this page the two point opposite ways, which is why both columns are printed.

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Cite this

Illinois has tracked the typical state almost exactly under Gov. Pritzker — No. 14 of the 29 governors ranked — 38 of 50 are rated, the other 9 are early reads held out of the ranking — across 16 categories. — Political Grades, methodology v3.0, data through 2023–2025 by category. Provisional; trend-vs-peers scoring; relative movement, not causation.

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the state’s other officials on this site