Gov. Kotek was elected in 2022 and sworn in on Jan. 9, 2023. The scored record above covers Oregon's outcomes during this continuous service, lagged per category (each category's lag was fixed before scoring).
Governors › Oregon
Oregon Under Tina Kotek
Democratic · Sworn in Jan. 9, 2023 · Now in 1st term
Oregon has tracked the other 49 states almost exactly under Gov. Kotek — an early read across 3 categories, unranked until the data thickens.
Tina Kotek
Oregon · Democratic · since Jan. 2023 · 1st term
Overall · citizen-weighted
Early
+0.28σ · 3 of 20 categories
equal-weight: +0.46σ · weighting hurts
| Category | Latest | Score vs. peers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Honesty | — | In human review | |
| Spending discipline | — | Rubric in development | |
| Education scale score | 267.9 ’24 | Too early | |
| Air quality AQI | 30 ’24 | Insufficient data | |
| Water quality % of community systems | 6.4 ’25 | +0.16σ* | |
| Unemployment % | 5.2 ’25 | −1.30σ* | |
| Health coverage % of adults 18-64 | 7.2 ’24 | Insufficient data | |
| Tax burden % of personal income | 5.6 ’24 | +2.50σ* | |
| Energy cost cents/kWh | 14.7 ’24 | Insufficient data | |
| Cost of living index, US=100 | 103.4 ’24 | Insufficient data | |
| Crime deaths per 100,000 | 4 ’24 | Insufficient data | |
| Teen births per 1,000 females 15-19 | 9 ’24 | Insufficient data | |
| Wellbeing mean days of past 30 | 5.8 ’24 | Insufficient data | |
| School food quality | — | Rubric in development | |
| School shootings | 1 ’24 | Context · 2/10yr | |
| Obesity % of adults | 33.5 ’24 | Too early | |
| Early literacy % of 4th graders | 48.3 ’24 | Too early | |
| Gun deaths deaths per 100,000 (age-adjusted) | 14.2 ’24 | Insufficient data | |
| Food-aid access index (higher = easier access) | 1.1 ’23 | Too early | |
| Jobless-benefit access % of unemployed receiving UI | 32.6 ’24 | Insufficient data |
Data transparency — 100% of state-run reporting delivered this tenureFull reporting
Scores are trends vs. the other 49 states over this governor’s window, in σ; *thin data (under 3 points). Tap ? on any row for what it measures, its chart, and the source. All provisional while the term runs. Methodology v2.1
Unemployment Rate, 2010–2025
Oregon against all 49 other states Oregon 50-state median Other 49 states Scored window
Annual-average unemployment rate — the longest-running series on the card, charted in full. The shaded band is its scored window: it opens one year after inauguration and tracks through the newest published data. The dashed line is the 50-state median, shown for context; scoring uses the median of the other 49 states. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics.
The Record
Show the Work
every published number, reproducible| Water quality (EPA SDWIS/ECHO) | +0.16σ · window 2024–2025 (2 pts, thin) · state −0.7%/yr vs peers −0.2%/yr |
| Unemployment (BLS LAUS) | −1.30σ · window 2024–2025 (2 pts, thin) · state +20.9%/yr vs peers +8.3%/yr |
| Tax burden (Census STC ÷ BEA personal income) | +2.50σ · window 2023–2024 (2 pts, thin) · state −22.5%/yr vs peers −4.5%/yr · pre-cap +2.72σ |
| Overall (mean of domain scores) | +0.28σ · economy −1.30 · fiscal +2.50 · environment +0.16 |
| Methodology | v2.1, preregistered — directions and lags fixed before scoring; full dataset at /pwr.json |
Every score is a fitted log-linear trend over that category’s window, minus the median trend of the other 49 states, standardized by the spread across states (σ) and capped at ±2.5. Positive always means “moved better than peers” under the category’s preregistered direction.
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Oregon has tracked the other 49 states almost exactly under Gov. Kotek — an early read across 3 categories, unranked until the data thickens. — Political Grades, methodology v2.1, data through 2025. Provisional; trend-vs-peers scoring; relative movement, not causation.