July 20, 2026Methodology v2.1 · Data: BLS, 20102025
Political Grades
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GovernorsKentucky

Kentucky Under Andy Beshear

Democratic · Sworn in Dec. 10, 2019 · Now in 2nd term

Kentucky has tracked the other 49 states almost exactly under Gov. Beshear — No. 21 of 29 governors with rated records, across 16 categories.

Andy Beshear
Kentucky · Democratic · since Dec. 2019 · 2nd term
Overall · citizen-weighted
No. 21 of 29
−0.28σ · 16 of 20 categories
equal-weight: −0.24σ · weighting helps · −0.1σ transparency
CategoryLatestScore vs. peers
HonestyIn human review
Spending disciplineRubric in development
Education scale score270.824+0.80σ*
Air quality AQI4124−0.37σ
Water quality % of community systems8.625−0.93σ
Unemployment %4.625−1.14σ
Health coverage % of adults 18-649.624−2.50σ
Tax burden % of personal income6.524+0.27σ
Energy cost cents/kWh12.824+0.73σ
Cost of living index, US=10090.224−0.64σ
Crime deaths per 100,000724+0.45σ
Teen births per 1,000 females 15-1920.424−0.18σ
Wellbeing mean days of past 305.624−0.00σ
School food qualityRubric in development
School shootings024Context · 16/10yr
Obesity % of adults37.224+0.45σ*
Early literacy % of 4th graders37.724+0.77σ*
Gun deaths deaths per 100,000 (age-adjusted)18.524+0.13σ
Food-aid access index (higher = easier access)0.623−0.39σ
Jobless-benefit access % of unemployed receiving UI8.924−2.50σ
Data transparency 80% of state-run reporting delivered this tenure0.1σ off OVR

Scores are trends vs. the other 49 states over this governor’s window, in σ; *thin data (under 3 points). Tap ? on any row for what it measures, its chart, and the source. All provisional while the term runs. Methodology v2.1

Unemployment Rate, 20102025

Kentucky against all 49 other states
scored window (20212025)02468101214%2010201520202025took officeKentucky50-state median0815%20152025
Kentucky 50-state median Other 49 states Scored window

Annual-average unemployment rate — the longest-running series on the card, charted in full. The shaded band is its scored window: it opens one year after inauguration and tracks through the newest published data. The dashed line is the 50-state median, shown for context; scoring uses the median of the other 49 states. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics.

The Record

Gov. Beshear was elected in 2019 and sworn in on Dec. 10, 2019. Andy Beshear is now serving a 2nd consecutive term; the current term began Dec. 2023. The scored record above covers Kentucky's outcomes during this continuous service, lagged per category (each category's lag was fixed before scoring).

Show the Work

every published number, reproducible
Education (NAEP (Nation's Report Card))+0.80σ · window 20222024 (2 pts, thin) · state +0.3%/yr vs peers −0.1%/yr
Air quality (EPA AirData)−0.37σ · window 20212024 (4 pts) · state +1.5%/yr vs peers +0.2%/yr
Water quality (EPA SDWIS/ECHO)−0.93σ · window 20212025 (5 pts) · state +0.8%/yr vs peers +0.1%/yr
Unemployment (BLS LAUS)−1.14σ · window 20212025 (5 pts) · state +2.8%/yr vs peers −2.7%/yr
Health coverage (CDC BRFSS)−2.50σ · window 20212024 (3 pts) · state +23.7%/yr vs peers +1.4%/yr · pre-cap −2.89σ
Tax burden (Census STC ÷ BEA personal income)+0.27σ · window 20202024 (5 pts) · state +1.4%/yr vs peers +2.2%/yr
Energy cost (EIA)+0.73σ · window 20212024 (4 pts) · state +3.0%/yr vs peers +5.2%/yr
Cost of living (BEA)−0.64σ · window 20212024 (4 pts) · state +0.4%/yr vs peers −0.1%/yr
Crime (CDC WONDER)+0.45σ · window 20212024 (4 pts) · state −10.0%/yr vs peers −7.4%/yr
Teen births (CDC WONDER)−0.18σ · window 20212024 (4 pts) · state −3.1%/yr vs peers −3.4%/yr
Wellbeing (CDC BRFSS)−0.00σ · window 20212024 (3 pts) · state +2.0%/yr vs peers +2.0%/yr
Obesity (CDC BRFSS)+0.45σ · window 20222024 (2 pts, thin) · state −0.7%/yr vs peers +0.2%/yr
Early literacy (NAEP (Nation's Report Card))+0.77σ · window 20222024 (2 pts, thin) · state −0.4%/yr vs peers +2.2%/yr
Gun deaths (CDC WONDER)+0.13σ · window 20212024 (4 pts) · state −4.1%/yr vs peers −3.6%/yr
Food-aid access (USDA FNS)−0.39σ · window 20212023 (3 pts) · state −1.4%/yr vs peers +0.9%/yr
Jobless-benefit access (US DOL ETA)−2.50σ · window 20212024 (4 pts) · state −38.2%/yr vs peers −5.9%/yr · pre-cap −3.60σ
Overall (mean of domain scores)−0.28σ · economy −0.35 · health −0.56 · environment −0.65 · public_safety +0.29 · education +0.78 · social_services −1.44 · fiscal +0.27
Methodologyv2.1, preregistered — directions and lags fixed before scoring; full dataset at /pwr.json

Every score is a fitted log-linear trend over that category’s window, minus the median trend of the other 49 states, standardized by the spread across states (σ) and capped at ±2.5. Positive always means “moved better than peers” under the category’s preregistered direction.

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Kentucky has tracked the other 49 states almost exactly under Gov. Beshear — No. 21 of 29 governors with rated records, across 16 categories. — Political Grades, methodology v2.1, data through 2025. Provisional; trend-vs-peers scoring; relative movement, not causation.