July 20, 2026Methodology v2.1 · Data: BLS, 20102025
Political Grades
government — just the stats

GovernorsArkansas

Arkansas Under Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Republican · Sworn in Jan. 10, 2023 · Now in 1st term

Arkansas has tracked the other 49 states almost exactly under Gov. Sanders — an early read across 3 categories, unranked until the data thickens.

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
Arkansas · Republican · since Jan. 2023 · 1st term
Overall · citizen-weighted
Early
−0.03σ · 3 of 20 categories
equal-weight: +0.14σ · weighting hurts
CategoryLatestScore vs. peers
HonestyIn human review
Spending disciplineRubric in development
Education scale score266.224Too early
Air quality AQI4124Insufficient data
Water quality % of community systems7.025+1.15σ*
Unemployment %4.125−0.92σ*
Health coverage % of adults 18-6413.024Insufficient data
Tax burden % of personal income6.924+0.19σ*
Energy cost cents/kWh12.324Insufficient data
Cost of living index, US=10086.924Insufficient data
Crime deaths per 100,0008.524Insufficient data
Teen births per 1,000 females 15-1922.224Insufficient data
Wellbeing mean days of past 30624Insufficient data
School food qualityRubric in development
School shootings024Context · 3/10yr
Obesity % of adults38.924Too early
Early literacy % of 4th graders43.824Too early
Gun deaths deaths per 100,000 (age-adjusted)20.624Insufficient data
Food-aid access index (higher = easier access)0.423Too early
Jobless-benefit access % of unemployed receiving UI16.924Insufficient data
Data transparency 100% of state-run reporting delivered this tenureFull reporting

Scores are trends vs. the other 49 states over this governor’s window, in σ; *thin data (under 3 points). Tap ? on any row for what it measures, its chart, and the source. All provisional while the term runs. Methodology v2.1

Unemployment Rate, 20102025

Arkansas against all 49 other states
scored window (20242025)02468101214%2010201520202025took officeArkansas50-state median0815%20152025
Arkansas 50-state median Other 49 states Scored window

Annual-average unemployment rate — the longest-running series on the card, charted in full. The shaded band is its scored window: it opens one year after inauguration and tracks through the newest published data. The dashed line is the 50-state median, shown for context; scoring uses the median of the other 49 states. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics.

The Record

Gov. Sanders was elected in 2022 and sworn in on Jan. 10, 2023. The scored record above covers Arkansas's outcomes during this continuous service, lagged per category (each category's lag was fixed before scoring).

Show the Work

every published number, reproducible
Water quality (EPA SDWIS/ECHO)+1.15σ · window 20242025 (2 pts, thin) · state −3.6%/yr vs peers −0.2%/yr
Unemployment (BLS LAUS)−0.92σ · window 20242025 (2 pts, thin) · state +17.1%/yr vs peers +8.3%/yr
Tax burden (Census STC ÷ BEA personal income)+0.19σ · window 20232024 (2 pts, thin) · state −5.8%/yr vs peers −4.5%/yr
Overall (mean of domain scores)−0.03σ · economy −0.92 · fiscal +0.19 · environment +1.15
Methodologyv2.1, preregistered — directions and lags fixed before scoring; full dataset at /pwr.json

Every score is a fitted log-linear trend over that category’s window, minus the median trend of the other 49 states, standardized by the spread across states (σ) and capped at ±2.5. Positive always means “moved better than peers” under the category’s preregistered direction.

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Cite this

Arkansas has tracked the other 49 states almost exactly under Gov. Sanders — an early read across 3 categories, unranked until the data thickens. — Political Grades, methodology v2.1, data through 2025. Provisional; trend-vs-peers scoring; relative movement, not causation.